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Dividend Stocks

CNR and CNQ – Beat the Competition on Cost

CNR and CNQ are two companies that hold cost advantages over their competition. Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO) is a transportation and logistics company while Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO) is in oil & gas exploration and production.

They have a cost advantage because they can produce goods or services at a cheaper price than their competitors. A cost advantage can be used in two ways:

1) Crush the competition with low price

Often, the easiest way to gain market share is to sell at a cheaper price than their competitors. When they produce the same goods or services at a lower cost, they can undercut competition. This is what Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO) does.

2) Sell at the same price, but make a lot more profit

When the business model permits, some companies will sell at the same price as their competitors. Their advantage is in the higher margin they enjoy thanks to their lower operations cost. They then become money-making machines. Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO) often does this.

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Canadian National Railway – Offering lower prices

Railroads are known to be one of, if not the cheapest way to transport goods across land. With Canada and the U.S. amongst the largest countries in the world, CNR (and Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP.TO for that matter) are quite popular. Railroads are less flexible than truck transport, but they are surely the lowest-cost transport.

Canadian National Railway logoBut CNR is more than railway transport! Its services also include intermodal, trucking, and supply chain services. CNR’s rail services offer equipment, customs brokerage services, transloading and distribution, private car storage, and more. Intermodal container services help shippers expand their door-to-door market reach with ~23 strategically placed intermodal terminals. These services include temperature-controlled cargo, port partnerships, logistics parks, moving grain in containers, custom brokerage, transloading and distribution, and others. Trucking services include door-to-door service, import and export dray, interline services, and specialized services.

CNR.TO dividend triangle as of May 2024
CNR.TO dividend triangle: trend of stock price, revenue, earnings per share, and dividends over 10 years

Known as “best-in-class” for operating ratios for years, CNR boasts strong operational performance, with velocity and speed staying solid metrics quarter after quarter. CNR has tirelessly improved its margins and was among the first railroad companies to do so. Today, its peers have caught up and are managed in the same way.

CNR profits from cost advantages over trucking and other transportation methods, and from the scale of its operations which is virtually impossible to replicate. These advantages give it what is called a wide economic moat, meaning that it will enjoy these benefits for 20 years or more. Therefore, it can count on increasing cash flows each year.

The good thing about CNR is that investors can always wait for a down cycle in the economy to invest in it. You can bank on it going back on a roll when things pick up and consumers and businesses buy more goods.

Canadian Natural Resources – Raking in the profits

A play in the energy sector is Canadian Natural Resources, an oil and gas exploration and production company. CNQ enjoys long-life assets with low declines in its reserves. The company can produce oil and natural gas at an extremely low cost. This enables CNQ to ramp up production when prices are up and boost their margins. During down cycles, it can slow down production and still be highly profitable. In other words, its cost advantage makes CNQ a cash flow-making machine.

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO) dividend triangle: revenu, EPS, and dividend growth over 10 years
CNQ.TO dividend triangle: trend of stock price, revenue, earnings per share, and dividends over 10 years

CNQ sits on a large asset of non-exploited oilsands and its break-even price for the WTI grade of crude is $35. However, the fact that oilsands are not exactly environmentally friendly and that more and more countries look to produce greener energy and electric cars does cool our enthusiasm a bit.

Despite this, CNQ is very well positioned to surf any oil boom. It invested heavily, and it is now generating higher free cash flow because of that capital spending. CNQ appears at the top of my list for a long-term play in the oil & gas industry. I also appreciate CNQ’s shareholder-friendly approach, as it will return 100% of free cash flow to shareholders after hitting $10B in net debt.

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Cost-advantaged companies in other industries

There are companies in other industries that also enjoy cost advantages over the competition. Think of Costco which positions itself as the largest customer of its suppliers to gain negotiating power and offer the lowest prices to its customers.

Walmart is another great example of a cost-advantaged business. As a dominant retailer and among the largest grocers in the U.S., WMT built its entire business model around offering “low prices every day”. Walmart “squeezes” every penny from its suppliers to 1) offer the cheapest price possible to customers and 2) crush most competitors. You don’t go to Walmart for its exceptional customer service, but rather to pay as low a price as possible for everyday goods.

The cost advantage can be deadly. Amazon founder, Jeff Bezos, once said “Your margin is my opportunity”. Companies, such as Barnes & Noble, thought they were doing well, and that no competition could kill them. Along came Amazon with a different business model focused on building a strong cost advantage. Barnes & Noble survived, barely, but it’s not a flourishing business anymore.

Buy List Stock for May 2024: Telus (T.TO / TU)

A buy list stock of mine since March 2023, Telus is still in my top five Canadian picks for growth. As future growth in the wireless industry is limited, Telus has diversified its business to find new growth vectors. The company is acting wisely in the face of the current headwinds by reducing its capital expenditures (CAPEX) and increasing its cash from operations. It hasn’t received a lot of love from the market in the last two years, and likely won’t in 2024, but I believe that will change eventually; in the meantime, investors enjoy consistent mid-single-digit dividend increases every year.

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Telus Business Model

TELUS Corporation is a Canada-based telecommunications company. The Company provides a wide range of technology solutions, including mobile and fixed voice and data telecommunications services and products, healthcare software and technology solutions, and digitally led customer experiences.

Data services include internet protocol, television, hosting, managed information technology and cloud-based services, software, data management and data analytics-driven smart-food chain technologies, and home and business security. It operates through two segments.

  • The technology solutions segment includes network revenues and equipment sales arising from mobile technologies, data revenues, some healthcare software and technology solutions, voice, and other telecommunications services revenues.
  • The International segment is comprised of digital customer experience and digital-enablement transformation solutions, including artificial intelligence (AI) and content management solutions.

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Telus Investment Thesis       

Telus logoTelus has grown its revenues, earnings, and dividend payouts very consistently. Very strong in the wireless industry, the company is now tackling other growth vectors such as internet and television services. Telus has the best customer service in the wireless industry as shown by its low customer loss rate. It uses its core business to cross-sell its wireline services. The company is particularly strong in Western Canada. Telus is well-positioned to surf the 5G technology tailwind.

Finally, Telus looks to original and profitable ways to diversify its business. Telus Health, Telus Agriculture, and Telus International (tech & games, finance, eCommerce, and artificial intelligence) (TIXT.TO) are small, but emerging divisions that should lead to more growth going forward. In 2022, Telus acquired Lifeworks for $2.3B to boost its health business segment.

In 2023, CAPEX slowed down ($2.6B) and was mostly financed by free cash flow ($2B). This explains why the company keeps its generous dividend growth streak alive. For 2024, the company expects lower CAPEX and stronger operating cash flow. We like that mix!

Want to see what our U.S. buy list stock if this month? See it here.

Telus Last Quarter and Recent Activities

Starting in 2023, the macroeconomic landscape has made it a challenging time for the telecommunications industry and Telus is no exception—years of fueling growth through cheap debt ended with rising interest rates.

Telus recently reported lackluster results for Q1’24. Consolidated revenue was down 0.6% and adjusted EPS was down 3.7% compared to Q1’23. Revenue for wireless/wireline revenue was up 0.4%, but down in for Telus Health (-0.7%), Agriculture (-0.24%), and International (-.98%).

Cash flow from operations of $950M increased 25% from Q1’23, but free cash flow was down 26% to $396M, due in part to interest charges going up to $394M from $320M.

Telus is keeping its CAPEX stable, a wise move during this difficult time. It reaffirmed its 2024 full-year guidance that it will have sufficient cash flow to pay dividends.

Invest with conviction. No more doubts or paralysis. Register for our upcoming May 30th, webinar, or listen to the replay,  here.

Potential Risks for Telus

Competition is increasing among the Big 3 in the wireless market; Rogers and Shaw merged, and a new player is arriving on the scene, with Quebecor acquiring Freedom Mobile. Margins could be under pressure in the future. Also, the federal government wants more competition for the “Big 3” and is likely to open the door to new competitors down the road.

As the wireless market becomes fully mature, Telus will need other growth vectors. TV & internet won’t be enough to prevent Telus from becoming another Verizon (VZ) ten years from now. We’re not convinced by the acquisition of Lifeworks, specifically its cost. We will see how Telus integrates the business into its Health division.

Finally, Telus’ debt has increased substantially, from $12B in 2015 to $27B in 2024. Higher rates might affect future profitability, especially if they persist. Everyone expects tate cuts in 2024, but so far, the Bank of Canada keeps delaying them due to inflation. The headwinds facing the company explain its stock performance as of late.

Graphs showing evolution of the Telus (T.TO) stock price, revenue, EPS and dividends over the last 5 years. Telus is our buy list stock for May 2024.

Telus Dividend Growth Perspective

This Canadian Aristocrat is by far the industry’s best dividend payer. Telus has a high cash payout ratio as it puts more cash into investments and capital expenditures. Capital expenditures are regularly taking away significant amounts of cash due to their massive investment in broadband infrastructure and network enhancement.

Such investments are crucial in this business, and, for a good while, Telus filled the cash flow gap with financing. At the same time, Telus continued to increase its dividend twice a year, exhibiting strong confidence from management. In 2023, Telus increased its dividend twice for a total increase of 7% for the year.

However, with the higher cost of debt and other macroeconomic challenges, Telus has wisely reduced its capital expenditures. This decision has already helped increase its operating cash flow, contributing to the dividend’s safety. Investors can still expect the dividend to increase, but I suspect the dividend growth will slow down in 2025 while the company faces the current headwinds and because of its lower free cash flow.

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Final Thoughts on this Buy List Stock

The story for Telus in 2024 is about three important metrics: cash from operations, capital expenditure (CAPEX), and free cash flow. I want to see the first one go up, the second one go down, and the last one to cover the dividend payments. I have Telus in my portfolio. Over the next few quarters, I will keep an eye on these metrics.

Right now, Telus is struggling a bit and not performing as well as I’d like. I still see a lot of potential in its diversified business areas, Telus Health, Telus Agriculture, and Telus International. These should eventually generate growth for the company. For a patient investor who’s in it for the long haul, Telus could be a great opportunity and that’s why it’s a buy list stock of mine.

 

Buy List Stock for April 2024: Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A.TO)

New to my buy list for April 2024 is Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A.TO). This pick is a speculative play. While Hammond Power is a small-cap company it might be the underdog investors didn’t see coming. It’s an interesting play with a good dividend if one is not afraid of market fluctuations. Hammond is still experiencing significant growth.

See also our U.S. buy list stock pick for this month.

Get great stock ideas from our Rock Stars list.

Hammond Power Solutions Business Model

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. is a manufacturer of dry-type transformers in North America. It engineers and manufactures a range of standard and custom transformers that are exported in electrical equipment and systems. It enables electrification through its range of dry-type transformers, power quality products, and related magnetics. Its standard and custom-designed products are essential and ubiquitous in electrical distribution networks through a range of end-user applications.

The company’s products include power transformers, furnace transformers, converter transformers, unitized substations, control & automation products, low voltage distribution products, medium voltage distribution products, and others. It supports industries, such as oil and gas, mining, steel, waste and water treatment, commercial construction, data centers, and wind power generation. It has manufacturing plants in Canada, the United States, Mexico, and India and sells its products around the globe.

HPS.A.TO Investment Thesis 

Hammond Power is a small-cap company with a market cap of approximately $950M that competes against many giants in the industrial field. The company enjoys a solid reputation for the quality and reliability of its. HPS tried to expand its Hammond Power Solutions logosuccess internationally but had to close its Italian division and continues to struggle in India. However, after closing its Italian business, the company focused on what’s working for it in North America.

The company is now well-positioned in Mexico and exhibits growth potential in both Mexico and the U.S., which now represent more than 50% of its total revenue. Hammond continues to witness significant growth in its custom business in the energy, mining, silica chip manufacturing, and data center markets.

HPS.A.TO Last Quarter and Recent Activities

Hammond Power Solutions 2023 results showed robust growth across all geographies and channels. Its most recent quarterly results were strong, again, with revenue up 30% and EPS up 10%. The quarter ended with record shipments of $187M globally. This was a new record top line, which helped the company reach its margin and profit targets.

U.S. and Mexico sales were helped by a stronger U.S. dollar relative to the Canadian dollar compared to 2022.  HPS saw substantial sales growth in the OEM channel in the U.S. in support of data centers, warehousing, industrial manufacturing, mining, electric vehicle charging, renewable energy, and oil and gas production. The company will continue to invest in increasing its capacity for 2025. This is looking good!

Graphs showing Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A.TO)'s stock price, revenue, EPS, and dividend over 10 years
Monster growth for Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A.TO)

Potential Risks for Hammond Power Solutions

The pandemic had an impact on HPS as revenues decreased due to the deferment of electrical projects, business interruptions, and overall lower levels of economic activity. However, HPS proved its resilient business model, with orders rebounding and HPS skyrocketing.

We advise you to tread carefully with small caps that are growing too quickly. HPS’ expansion success in North America couldn’t be replicated in India or Italy. After closing its business in Italy, future expansion projects may not spark investors’ enthusiasm. Also, a part of the company’s revenue is tied to the oil & gas and mining industries, both of which are highly cyclical. HPS is also subject to currency fluctuations due to its exposure to the U.S. and Mexican markets. With such a small capitalization, an investment in this company can fluctuate frequently.

Want more ideas? Get our Rock Stars list, updated monthly.

HPS.A.TO Dividend Growth Perspective

HPS finally resumed its dividend growth policy in 2022 with a generous increase. The dividend went from $0.085/share to $0.10/share (+17.6% increase!) and then to $0.125 (+25%!) in early 2023. However, remember that the company chose to cut its distribution following the financial crisis of 2009, with more cuts in 2011-2012. The dividend remained stable for several years before the recent increases.

Unfortunately, the dividend growth policy will follow industrial economic cycles. In the meantime, you can enjoy the ride! Speaking of which, management increased HPS’s dividend by another 20% in September 2023.

Final Thoughts on Hammond Power Solutions (HPS.A.TO)

Hammond Power Solutions has shown amazing growth for the last two years. With a recession possibly around the corner, its customers in cyclical industries might not do very well themselves. Is HPS resilient enough to keep that growth going or will headwinds slow it down? Only time will tell.

Obviously, you don’t bet the house on this, but it could be a very lucrative investment, as long as you can live with significant volatility.

 

Buy List Stock for March 2024: Capital Power Corp. (CPX.TO)

Our buy list stock for March 2024 is Capital Power Corp. (CPX.TO). This is an educated guess. The company is almost perfect, showing a strong business model and good metrics. However, it might come with price fluctuations because of the risks surrounding debt for such a capital-intensive business in the current landscape of high interest rates.

Want to see our U.S. buy list stock of the month? Click here.

Capital Power Business Model

Capital Power Corp. is a growth-oriented power producer company. It develops, acquires, owns, and runs renewable and thermal power generation facilities and manages its related electricity and natural gas portfolios. It runs electrical generation facilities in Canada and the United States. The Company has approximately 9,300 megawatts (MW) of power generation capacity at 32 facilities across North America.

Its projects under construction include over 140 MW of renewable generation capacity and 512 MW of incremental natural gas combined cycle capacity from the repowering of Genesee 1 and 2 in Alberta. It has over 350 MW of natural gas and battery energy storage systems in Ontario and approximately 70 MW of solar capacity in North Carolina in advanced development. Its La Paloma facility is in Kern County, California. The Company also has a natural gas generation facility in the Harquahala region of Arizona.

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CPX.TO Investment Thesis    

Capital Power has invested heavily in new projects each year since 2012. This has enabled it to grow its AFFO consistently. Contrary to Algonquin Power (AQN), CPX currently shows funds from operation per share growth year after year despite higher interest rates.

After announcing the acquisition of Midland Cogeneration (a 1,633 MW natural gas combined-cycle cogen facility), it did it again in late 2023, acquiring a 50.15% interest in the 265 megawatts (MW) Frederickson 1 Generating Station in Pierce County, Washington. This will bring CPX’s revenue diversification to 50% U.S. and 50% Canada.

The acquisitions add another 1,608 MW of net capacity to CPX’s U.S. WECC portfolio, boosting run-rate U.S. EBITDA to ~40% of total contributions. Acquisitions are expected to bring an 8% AFFO growth per share. CPX is now the 5th largest natural gas IPP in North America.

We like CPX’s strategy of investing in renewable energy and its goal to abandon coal in 2024 and show zero net production by 2045, but profitability might be hard to achieve with these projects in this market. 22% of adjusted EBITDA was generated from renewable assets in 2021. An investor can expect continued profitability going forward as CPX keeps investing in renewables.

Graphs showing Capital Power Corp.'s stock price, revenue, EPS, and dividend payments over 10 years. Sollid growth
CPX.TO: accelerating revenue and earnings growth, steady dividend growth

CPX.TO Last Quarter and Recent Activities

In 2023, Capital Power continued to transform its Genesee generating station to move away from coal. It completed the work needed for Unit 3, now 100% natural gas-fuelled, and progressed the repowering of Units 1 and 2, with completion expected in 2024. CPX made its largest transaction ever with the acquisition of the La Paloma and Harquahala natural gas facilities, as well as the addition of the Frederickson 1 facility.

Capital Power reported a good quarter with revenue growth of 6% and funds from operation per share up 15%. AFFO increased due to lower overall sustaining capital expenditures resulting from fewer outage activities, and higher adjusted EBITDA.

Potential Risks for Capital Power Corp. 

For several years, Capital Power’s had too much of its revenue coming from Alberta making it dependent on the state of the province’s economy.  Through its multiple acquisitions, CPX brought its exposure to this province down to 31%.

As with all other utilities, CPX.TO is a capital-intensive business. It must invest heavily continually to generate more cash flow. The market might not be so eager to see additional debt to fund projects in the coming years. With higher interest rates, debt could become a burden. There’s no guarantee that liquidity will continue to be easy to get from capital markets. While CPX shows a healthier balance sheet than Algonquin, let’s not forget how aggressive growth by acquisition strategies can end when they’re not managed properly. Finally, weather variation could affect results as we’ve seen already, where warm winters reduce AFFO occasionally.

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CPX.TO Dividend Growth Perspective

Considering its various wind energy projects and the robust Alberta economy, CPX’s management expects to increase its dividend by 6% through 2025. Such a promise is always welcomed by income-seeking investors.  Through its successful transformation into a diversified utility, CPX is earning its place among other robust Canadian utilities such as Fortis, Emera, and the Brookfield family.

Final Thoughts on Capital Power (CPX.TO)

CPX.TO intends to invest heavily in the wind energy business and to get many U.S. projects. Its diversification plan is paying off; it reduced Alberta’s contribution to its revenue to less than one-third and has managed to show sustained growth. The company now expects a dividend growth rate of 6% through 2025.

With its vigorous growth by acquisition strategy, Capital Power could face headwinds from high interest rates on significant debt. Investors aware of these potential risks and willing to live with them while the investment thesis stands might find it an attractive play.

 

Unlock the Power of Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRIPs)

If you’re looking for ways to maximize returns and build long-term wealth, consider dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs). Reinvest your dividends in the underlying stock automatically, compounding your investment over time.

In this article, we’ll delve into what DRIPs are, how they work, how investors can participate, and the advantages and inconveniences associated with them.

What are DRIPs?

HourglassDividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs) are an investment tool that allows shareholders to reinvest cash dividends received from a company’s stock into more shares or fractions of shares. Instead of receiving dividends in the form of cash payouts, investors automatically reinvest those dividends into the same stock. The result? Investors accumulate more shares over time, without any effort, and save themselves transaction costs along the way.

How Do DRIPs Work?

When a company pays dividends, instead of receiving a cash payment, shareholders who participate in a DRIP program receive shares equivalent to the value of the dividends. These shares are bought directly from the company without brokerage fees. Sometimes, DRIP participants get the stock at a discounted price.

For example, suppose you own 100 shares of Company X, and each share pays a quarterly dividend of $1. The stock price is $25 per share. If you take part in Company X’s DRIP program, instead of receiving $100 in cash dividends, you will receive 4 shares. Over time, this reinvestment can significantly increase your holdings in Company X.

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Enrollment and Participation

Participating in a DRIP program is relatively straightforward. Usually, investors must own at least one share of the company’s stock to enroll in the plan. They can do so directly through the company’s transfer agent or brokerage firm, depending on the availability of the DRIP program. Once enrolled, dividends are automatically reinvested without requiring any further action from the investor.

Many brokerage firms offer DRIP services to their clients, making it convenient for investors to enroll in multiple DRIP programs through a single platform. Investors can usually manage their DRIP participation online, track their dividend reinvestments, and monitor their growing investment portfolios.

Note that not all companies offer DRIPs. Consult the Investor Relations section of a company’s website to see whether they have a DRIP. Brokerage firms will also have a list of company DRIPs you can enroll in.

Advantages of DRIPs

Compounding Returns

One of the main benefits of DRIPs is the power of compounding returns. By reinvesting dividends back into the underlying stock, investors buy more shares, which in turn generate more dividends. Over time, this compounding effect can significantly enhance the total return on investment.

Dollar-Cost Averaging

DRIPs provide investors with the advantage of dollar-cost averaging. Since dividends are reinvested regularly, regardless of market conditions, investors buy more shares when prices are low and fewer shares when prices are high. This disciplined approach helps smooth out the impact of market volatility and can result in a lower average cost per share over time.

Convenience

DRIPs automate the process of reinvesting dividends, eliminating the need for investors to actively manage their dividend income. This automation makes it convenient for investors to grow their investment portfolios without requiring constant attention or manual intervention.

Potential Cost Savings

Many DRIP programs offer the option to buy additional shares at a discounted price or without incurring brokerage fees. This can lead to cost savings for investors, especially those who regularly reinvest dividends and accumulate shares over the long term.

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Drawbacks of DRIPs

While DRIPs offer several advantages, they can complicate tax reporting for investors. In non-registered accounts, reinvested dividends are still considered taxable income, even though they are not received in cash. Investors need to keep track of their reinvested dividends and report them accurately on their tax returns, which may require more record-keeping and tax preparation efforts.

Participating in a DRIP program means relinquishing control over dividend payments. While automatic reinvestment can be helpful for long-term investors, it may not suit those who prefer to receive cash dividends for other purposes, such as funding living expenses or investing in other stocks.

In some cases, companies issue new shares to fulfill the demand for DRIP participants, which dilutes existing shareholders’ ownership stakes. The effect of dilution might be minimal for large, established companies, but it could be more significant for smaller companies with fewer outstanding shares.

To DRIP or not to DRIP

Bar chart shoring an overweight position in a portfolioParticipating in a DRIP increases investors’ positions in some stocks automatically without them having to lift a finger. Over time, you could end up with overweight positions for these stocks if you don’t monitor your portfolio.

Also, if the stock price is on a major bull run and keeps rising, and your DRIP buys more for you with every dividend payment, your average cost per share rises as well. The point is that investors should watch their DRIP reinvestments, and the weight of the positions quarterly to avoid these issues. When a position reaches the maximum weighting wanted, it’s time to stop the DRIP to either cash in the dividends or invest them in other stocks.

Investors getting near retirement should also remember to review their DRIPs and stop some or all of them to help build up their cash reserve with the cash dividends ahead of the start of their retirement. Find out more about this in Retirement Cash Reserve: Surf the Market’s Waves.

Conclusion

Dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs) are a compelling tool for investors to grow their investment portfolios over the long term. By reinvesting dividends back into the underlying stock, investors can harness the power of compounding returns and dollar-cost averaging to maximize their wealth accumulation.

While DRIPs provide numerous advantages, including automation, cost savings, and compounding benefits, investors should also be mindful of the potential tax implications, lack of flexibility, and the risk of dilution associated with taking part in DRIP programs. Investors must also monitor the weight of positions for which they participate in a DRIP and stop the DRIP when the positions are large enough and when they want to build their retirement cash reserve.

Ultimately, the decision to enroll in a DRIP should align with investors’ long-term financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment preferences.

Buy List Stock for February 2024: Toromont Industries (TIH.TO)

My Canadian buy list stock for February 2024 is Toromont Industries (TIH.TO). It shows a very strong dividend triangle with double-digit 5-yr annualized growth for revenue, EPS, and dividends. Considering the massive infrastructure spending needs in Canada for the coming years, TIH should keep doing well.

We included Toromont in our Best Canadian Stocks to Buy in 2024, but it’s now a buy list stock because we feel it deserves a bit more attention and we wanted to provide more detail about it.

See our U.S. buy list stock pick for the month here.

Toromont Industries Business Model

Toromont logo on signToromont Industries is a Canada-based company serving the specialized equipment and lifetime product support needs of thousands of customers in diverse industries from roadbuilding to mining, and telecommunications to food and beverage processing. It operates the Equipment Group and CIMCO segments.

Within the Equipment Group segment, TIH is the exclusive Caterpillar dealer for a contiguous geographical territory in Canada that covers Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, Newfoundland, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and most of Nunavut. Additionally, the Company is the MaK engine dealer for the Eastern Seaboard of the United States, from Maine to Virginia. The segment includes rental operations and a complementary material handling business. CIMCO segment is engaged in the design, engineering, fabrication, and installation of industrial and recreational refrigeration systems. Both segments offer comprehensive product support capabilities.

Want more stock ideas? Download out Top Stocks for 2024 booklet!

Investment Thesis for TIH.TO

TIH has over 50 years of history and has built a solid sales network with roughly 140 locations across Canada and the US. Combining this large distribution network with a well-known brand that is Caterpillar secures success that will last for decades. In addition to counting on the mining (20%) and construction (38%) sectors to grow organically, the company also buys smaller dealerships, such as Hewitt, acquired in 2017.

Considering the massive infrastructure spending needs in Canada in the coming years, Toromont is surely a player that could do well going forward. On top of this, the mining industry continues to bolster TIH’s order book given that commodity prices remain strong. It’s a shame that TIH exhibits such a low yield. The company has navigated the current uncertain economic conditions well by remaining committed to operating discipline. Now that governments want to invest in more infrastructure, TIH possesses a stronger dividend triangle showing robust growth.

Graph showing Toromont Industries dividend triangle and stock price over 5 years.

TIH.TO Last Quarter and Recent Activities

Toromont Industries reported a total revenue increase of 9%  for Q4’23 with Equipment Group revenue up 9% and CIMCO up +2%. EPS dropped 3.6% in the quarter as operating income fell due to property gain included in the prior year Q4 results. Excluding these gains, Toromont’s operating income grew 5% due to higher revenue but affected by lower gross margins. Bookings rose 49% compared to the same period in 2022. For the full year, revenue grew 12%, increasing in both groups and across all product and service categories compared to full year 2022 .EPS for 2023 increased 18% compared to 2022. The company also just announced an 11.6% dividend increase!

Potential Risks for Toromont Industries

When we think of the mining and construction sectors, there are two characteristics that come to mind: capital-intense and cyclical. While TIH enjoys a strong reputation and a steady source of income coming from its business model, the company still has to deal with economic cycles. The market expects TIH to showcase great performance in the coming years due to massive infrastructure investments from Canadian provinces. Let’s hope that the company doesn’t disappoint investors.

Revenue growth wasn’t impressive since the pandemic, but now it seems to be picking up in the latest quarters. TIH continues to face construction delays and inflationary pressure. What would happen if we entered a recession? We can see that backlog is now slowing down, signaling weaker results ahead. But so far, the dividend triangle stays incredibly strong.

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TIH.TO Dividend Growth Perspective

Toromont has been a pioneer among the Canadian dividend growers with a dividend growth streak that has been around since 1989. It’s too bad that TIH exhibits such a low dividend yield even after management more than doubled its payouts over the past 5 years. Since TIH has a low payout ratio, shareholders can expect higher single digit increases over the long run. It followed up on a generous dividend increase of +11.4% in 2022 with another one of +10%  in 2023 (from $0.39/share to $0.43/share), and yet another one, this time +11.6% in early 2024 (from $0.43/share to $0.48/share).

Final Thoughts on Toromont Industries

TIH’s yield of 1.5% won’t pay your bills, but it is growing by double-digit annually for one (+10.25%), three (+13.05%), and five years (15.45%).

Despite its very strong dividend triangle (5yr double-digit growth for revenue, EPS and dividends) and revenue growth improving of late, the stock price isn’t following the same growth trend. Last year, you had the chance to buy TIH at a PE of 20. Today, the forward PE is 18.80! Could be a good entry point if you want to add industrials stock to your portfolio.

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