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INVESTING THE CANADIAN WAY

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BEPC stock

Best Canadian Stocks to Buy in 2025

Most of the best Canadian stocks pay a dividend. Known for their stability when markets are rough, they also provide income to investors quarterly. Companies in sectors such as utilities, REITs, and banks can protect you against market fluctuations and severe losses.

Yet, not all dividend-paying companies are good investments. Investing in dividend stocks can lead to painful losses and income cuts. The risk of falling for dividend traps or seeing your retirement income plummet due to the wrong stock selection is too frequent.

The market creates bubbles and hurts your portfolio. You worked hard to invest money, and you shouldn’t lose it to the wolves of Bay Street. There is a way you can invest safely in Canadian dividend stocks. We have selected some high-quality stocks to make your life easier.

Best Canadian Dividend Stocks for 2025

When I built my retirement portfolio, I focused on companies showing a combination of safe income and steady growth. My choices include Canadian Dividend Aristocrats (companies showing several years of consecutive dividend increases). I added a few more metrics and used the DSR stock screener to refine my research.

Here are some of the best Canadian Dividend Stocks for 2025:

#10 Telus (T.TO)

#9 Granite REIT (GRT.UN.TO)

#8 Hydro One (H.TO)

#7 Dollarama (DOL.TO)

#6 Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO)

#5 CCL Industries (CCL.B.TO)

#4 Brookfield Corp (BN.TO)

#3 Brookfield Renewables (BEPC.TO)

#2 National Bank (NA.TO)

#1 Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD.TO)

More Stock Ideas and Sectors’ Insights

Get the Best from the Markets

Top Stocks Booklet Cover.
Top Stocks Booklet Cover.

It is possible to build a portfolio from Canadian dividend stocks only. However, the S&P 500 has outperformed the Canadian market for decades. You might consider adding a few US companies to take advantage of these outstanding returns. I have created a top stocks booklet to help you out.

Each year, I compile a list of stocks expected to do better than the market for Dividend Stocks Rock members. I review the 11 sectors for them and include top picks for each. I’ve decided to share three with you: Communication Services, Consumer Staples, and Industrials. The booklet is a great place to find dividend growth stocks that offer Canadian and US diversification.

Download 6 of my top 27 for 2025 right here:

#10 Telus (T.TO)

About a year ago, Telus was upgraded to a PRO rating of 5. I thought the company would bounce back faster, but it wasn’t the case. My long-term view of Telus hasn’t changed, though.

While the company reported modest revenue growth throughout the year, its cash flow metrics (cash flow from operations, free cash flow and capital expenditure) have improved significantly. The company is covering their dividend from free cash flow and interest charges are under control.

It took longer than expected, but I believe Telus will get out of this rut and make investors happy. It’s only a matter of time.

#9 Granite REIT (GRT.UN.TO)

Granite is a very frustrating REIT to hold. I love the investment thesis which includes the strong need for industrial properties, GRT’s ability to grow its business while growing FFO per unit and distribution increases intact and the high occupancy rate. The financial metrics back this investment thesis as revenue, Funds from operations, FFO per units, payout ratio and occupancy rate are all looking good. Why is GRT frustrating to hold? Because it simply doesn’t get any love from the market. Despite its good numbers, GRT lags the market and fails to generate positive returns.

With a low FFO payout ratio (68% for the first 9 months of 2024), shareholders can enjoy a 4.5% yield that should grow and match (or beat) the inflation rate. This is among the rare REITs exhibiting AFFO per unit growth while issuing more units to finance growth.

#8 Hydro One (H.TO)

From time to time, I hear that Hydro-Quebec should go public and unlock tons of value. However, I understand the government’s provincial point of view of keeping this amazing asset for themselves. Do you know why? Because Hydro-Quebec pays a generous dividend to the government each year!

Well, Hydro One is in a similar situation but you have the possibility of getting a piece of the cake as the Ontario Government decided to sell a part of its stake in this beauty. With 99% of its operations being regulated and 98% of its electric lines being in Ontario, an investment in Hydro One is a pure play on Ontario’s power development. This is the pure definition of a sleep-well-at-night investment. The company expects to invest $1.3B to $1.6B in CAPEX yearly until 2027 which will support their EPS growth guidance of 4-7% and dividend growth of about 5%. The province enjoys a strong and diversified economy and Hydro One will continue to grow by walking in the province’s path.

#7 Dollarama (DOL.TO)

Dollarama storefront sign

I’m kicking myself for not having Dollarama in my portfolio. Maybe in another life!

DOL has built a strong brand, and its business model (aimed at low-value items) is an excellent defensive play against the e-commerce threat over the retail business. As consumers’ budgets are tight, DOL appears to be an amazing alternative for many goods. Dollarama has been able to increase same store sales along with opening new stores consistently. The introduction of many products under its “home brand” increases the company’s margin. DOL introduced a new price point of $5 for many items, which lends additional flexibility and pricing power.

#6 Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO)

CNQ is a rare beast in its environment that has increased dividends for 25 consecutive years. Yes, it even increased its payouts while everybody was on hold or cutting distributions in 2020. It brings the question: why is CNQ “oil price resistant”?

The company is sitting on a large reserve of cheap oil. According to management, CNQ is profitable with an oil price per barrel of around $35-$40. This enables the company to manage production and capex with greater flexibility. They can then slowdown CAPEX when the oil price is low and produce less. When we are in “full oil bull mode”, CNQ bolsters CAPEX and boosts production generating maximum cash flow. This is exactly what just happened where CNQ dropped its debt and now focuses on rewarding shareholders with share buybacks and dividend increases.

To be clear, I don’t see CNQ as a super powered growth stock for the future. However, with a yield above 4% and a resilient business model, that’s the type of business that will either be very good in your portfolio, or it will go back into hibernation mode paying a secure dividend. In both scenarios, you can be a winner over the long run.

#5 CCL Industries (CCL.B.TO)

Finding an international leader with a well-diversified business based in Canada is rare. Through the major acquisition of business units from Avery (world’s largest supplier of labels) in 2013, the company has set the tone for several years of growth. Bolstered by its previous successes, CCL also bought Checkpoint, a leading developer of RF and RFID, and Innovia in the past few years and announced more acquisitions in 2021. The company is still able to generate organic growth (roughly 4-5%) on top of its growth through acquisitions.

#4 Brookfield Corporation (BN.TO)

I’m keeping BN among my top picks for a third year in a row. The 2024 selection paid off as Brookfield skyrocketed with more than 50% return. I think there is much more to come! Brookfield is amongst the largest players in alternative asset management. As the stock market looks overvalued, many investors will turn toward alternative assets as a way to generate profits and hedge their bets. Those long-term assets require patient capital and a high level of expertise. Brookfield is in a perfect position to provide this service to investors. Even better, BN invests its own capital in many projects. Therefore, it can double-dip by charging a fee on managed capital and making capital gains when selling assets.

#3 Brookfield Renewables (BEPC.TO)

BEP enjoys large-scale capital resources and has the expertise to manage its projects across the world. Management aims for a 5-9% annual distribution increase, backed by double-digit guidance that includes a mix of organic and M&A growth. Investors gravitate toward clean energy, and BEP is well-positioned to attract them.

Following an impressive stock price surge through 2020, the stock has been trending down for the past two years, although there is nothing to worry about. The rise of interest rates on bonds combined with the incredible ride BEP has had is responsible for this correction. In late 2023, management reaffirmed its strong position and ability to generate strong returns over the long haul. The latest results in early 2024 confirmed that BEP is still focused on growth opportunities. In Q2 of 2024, management highlighted the important contract signed with Microsoft to supply 10.5GW to support MSFT’s AI and cloud business energy needs. This could open the doors to more deals with corporations in the future.

#2 National Bank (NA.TO)

National Bank logo

There is no secret here as I’m a National Bank fan. It seems that the bank has done everything right over the past 15 years. This big transformation converted a small provincial bank into a serious player in capital markets and the private wealth industries. The Bank is expected to complete a key acquisition of Canadian Western Bank in 2025 which will bring more capital onto its balance sheet (supporting capital market lucrative operations), more synergies (high cross-selling opportunities between CWB’s commercial clients and private wealth management) and a good presence in Western Canada. NA is also doing very well in Cambodia (Aba Bank) and through its door into the U.S. (Credigy).

#1 Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD.TO)

I might never have another choice for Canadian than Couche-Tard. I’ve looked at grocery stores, but Metro (MRU.TO) and Loblaws (L.TO) don’t offer many growth opportunities. Don’t get me wrong, they are great companies, but I think ATD will do better.

Things are changing quickly around the 7-Eleven deal. ATD has tried to get to the negotiation table to acquire 7-Eleven for a few months now. The Japanese company is trying all means to stay Japanese. The latest chatter was that the son’s founder would buy it back and make it private. The market liked the idea, and the ATD share price rose again. This story isn’t over yet one way or another.

For 2025, I see ATD striking another acquisition. After all, it’s in its DNA. If it’s not 7-Eleven, it will be another chain (maybe Casey’s?… it tried to acquire CASY in 2010). ATD must gain more expertise in growing organically through the sale of read-to-eat and fresh produce. This is how they can mitigate the impact of slowing fuel and tobacco sales over the next 10-20 years.

More Stock Ideas and 3 Sectors’ Insights

In the Top Dividend Stocks for 2025 booklet, you get six dividend stock ideas and learn about their sectors. Get a clear vision for the Communication Services, Consumer Staples, and Industrials so that you do not hesitate when looking at your portfolio.

Download our booklet now!

What’s Happening with Renewables?

What’s happening with renewables? Renewable stock prices dropped spectacularly in the last few weeks, as shown here. If you have renewable energy stock in your portfolio, you might be in shock.

Graph showing stock price dropping for 6 renewable energy companies dropping from 15 to almost 58% since late September 2023

What caused that chaos?

It’s not a dividend cut or an absence of dividend growth. On September 27, NextEra Partners (NEP) lowered its guidance for the growth of its distribution per unit from 12%-15% per year down to 5%-8%, with a target growth rate of 6% per year. The CEO explained the reasons in this press release. NEP’s distribution rose 89.78% over the past 5 years with an annualized growth rate of 13.67%.

Earlier in May, NEP had announced a strategic shift by confirming its intention to sell its natural gas pipelines.

The goal of selling assets and lowering the dividend growth policy is to give NEP more financial flexibility and maintain its ability to invest in new projects to pursue growth. It’s also to pay off debts that are coming due.

NEP’s debt

Companies can use debt or issue more stocks/units to finance projects. Convertible Equity Financing Portfolio (CEFP) is a way to get financing where you pay the debt either in cash or in units when it comes to maturity.

NEP uses a mix including convertible equity financing; it gets money “today”, betting that its unit price goes up before the debt comes to maturity, thus getting a good deal by issuing units at a higher price to pay it off. NEP has roughly $1.5B of convertible equity financing debt to pay off through 2025. With the stock dropping nearly 60% recently, you can count on them not issuing additional units for near term financing.

This highlights how sensitive most renewable utilities are to rising interest rates. NEP is stuck between a rock and a hard place. Future debt will carry interest rates of 7%-8% while issuing units with such a depreciated stock price would only drive the price lower by diluting shareholders’ investments.

Want a portfolio that can withstand all this economic turmoil and provide you with enough income? Download our Dividend Income for Life Guide!

 

What’s next for NEP?

NEP is walking is on the edge, but that doesn’t mean it’ll fall. Numbers seem to work until 2025, assuming no further major interest rate hikes. However, it’s not out of the woods.

The pessimistic scenario has NEP facing higher interest rates while its unit price doesn’t bounce back. NEP would eventually face a possible dividend cut or see NextEra Energy (NEE) buy all its units. A leader in renewable energy with a market cap of $97B, NEE owns 51% of NEP, whose market cap is $2B. NEP shareholders wouldn’t be happy with this outcome because they wouldn’t get much for their units.

The optimistic scenario sees NEP on the edge for a few years, with interest rates decreasing before 2026, when more debt (including CEFP) comes to maturity. We’d see NEP’s unit price slowly but surely go up, the dividend paid, and growth back on the table. At this point, however, NEP would be a high-risk, high-reward investment.

What about other renewable utilities?

Now’s the time to make sure you have a solid portfolio. This implies digging deeper to ensure companies you hold show strong financial metrics. Unfortunately, utilities aren’t easy to analyze; they use both GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) and non-GAAP (like homemade calculations), and often use Funds from operations (FFO) per unit, found in press releases and quarterly earnings reports.

Renewable energy: Solar panels seen from the ground, behind pink flowers Look for investors’ presentations and quarterly earnings reports on the company website. Doing that reveals that another renewable, Brookfield Renewable (BEPC/BEPC.TO), hosted its investors day in September. Contrary to NEP, BEPC reaffirmed its growth expectations and distribution growth targets…business as usual for BEPC.

Different companies, different business models, different debt structures. When a NEP-like situation happens, solid companies are also punished, unfairly, because the market puts them in the same basket as the one with the problem.

It’s clear that all utilities will suffer for a while. Higher interest charges hurt their balance sheet and cash flow, while simultaneously drawing retirees to bonds and GICs and away from utilities. In fairness, when 10-year government bonds offer over 4.5%, income-seeking investors would be fools to go for stocks paying the same yield.

How to look at renewable utilities

Renewable energy companies: Headlines of 3 articles on Seeking Alpha about NextEra showing very different opinions about how it should be ratedFirst, ignore the noise, or you’ll get lost in a myriad of conflicting information. Here are three articles on Seeking Alpha for October 6 (Strong Buy, Sell, and Hold ratings).

I read all three; each makes solid points. If I rely on their opinion, I have no clarity.

Best to develop your own opinion. How? Follow the same process as always: make sure your investment thesis (the narrative) is backed by the numbers.

1 – Start with the dividend triangle.

The EPS won’t be of much use for utilities; review the revenue and dividend growth trends.

Weak dividend growth, or none, raises a huge red flag. If you’re choosing between two stocks and one shows no or weak dividend growth, eliminate it as a candidate.

2 – Look at the FFO/unit (common replacement for EPS for utilities) on the company’s website.

3 – Look at the company’s debt structure and maturity in its investor presentation.

There’s a big difference between fixed-rate debt over a long period of time vs. floating rates or short-term maturities that will push interest expenses higher.

4 – Look at the company’s past track record to see how it performed in other difficult periods. You’ll have to go back to the 2008 crisis to see how they fared, but it’s time well spent if you’re unsure of some stocks.

Create yourself a large enough paycheck. To learn how…download our Dividend Income for Life Guide!

 

Renewables aren’t dead, just facing substantial headwinds

Renewables are facing stronger headwinds than classic utilities due to their business model. Many classic utilities—Fortis, Canadian Utilities, Xcel, and WEC Energy—operate regulated assets. They’re granted a monopoly over an area to ensure quality, stable service. In exchange for that monopoly, utilities cannot raise their rates as they see fit. They must present a case for increasing rates to the regulator, who assesses whether the increase makes sense for both the utility and its customers. When interest costs increase, regulated utilities have more pricing power because it’s easier to justify rate increases.

Renewables don’t enjoy a monopoly because their energy source is less stable and complements other sources. They can raise prices freely, but they face more competition. In the current economic environment, I bet they’d love to negotiate rate increases with a regulator!

Renewables and other capital-intensive businesses (Telcos, REITs, pipelines, etc.) will have a rough ride until we know that interest rate increases are over and that we’re heading toward reductions. We’re not there yet; you must decide if you want to “walk in the desert”. Again, focusing on dividend growers helps.

 

 

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