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Dividend Stocks

Unlock the Power of Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRIPs)

If you’re looking for ways to maximize returns and build long-term wealth, consider dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs). Reinvest your dividends in the underlying stock automatically, compounding your investment over time.

In this article, we’ll delve into what DRIPs are, how they work, how investors can participate, and the advantages and inconveniences associated with them.

What are DRIPs?

HourglassDividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs) are an investment tool that allows shareholders to reinvest cash dividends received from a company’s stock into more shares or fractions of shares. Instead of receiving dividends in the form of cash payouts, investors automatically reinvest those dividends into the same stock. The result? Investors accumulate more shares over time, without any effort, and save themselves transaction costs along the way.

How Do DRIPs Work?

When a company pays dividends, instead of receiving a cash payment, shareholders who participate in a DRIP program receive shares equivalent to the value of the dividends. These shares are bought directly from the company without brokerage fees. Sometimes, DRIP participants get the stock at a discounted price.

For example, suppose you own 100 shares of Company X, and each share pays a quarterly dividend of $1. The stock price is $25 per share. If you take part in Company X’s DRIP program, instead of receiving $100 in cash dividends, you will receive 4 shares. Over time, this reinvestment can significantly increase your holdings in Company X.

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Enrollment and Participation

Participating in a DRIP program is relatively straightforward. Usually, investors must own at least one share of the company’s stock to enroll in the plan. They can do so directly through the company’s transfer agent or brokerage firm, depending on the availability of the DRIP program. Once enrolled, dividends are automatically reinvested without requiring any further action from the investor.

Many brokerage firms offer DRIP services to their clients, making it convenient for investors to enroll in multiple DRIP programs through a single platform. Investors can usually manage their DRIP participation online, track their dividend reinvestments, and monitor their growing investment portfolios.

Note that not all companies offer DRIPs. Consult the Investor Relations section of a company’s website to see whether they have a DRIP. Brokerage firms will also have a list of company DRIPs you can enroll in.

Advantages of DRIPs

Compounding Returns

One of the main benefits of DRIPs is the power of compounding returns. By reinvesting dividends back into the underlying stock, investors buy more shares, which in turn generate more dividends. Over time, this compounding effect can significantly enhance the total return on investment.

Dollar-Cost Averaging

DRIPs provide investors with the advantage of dollar-cost averaging. Since dividends are reinvested regularly, regardless of market conditions, investors buy more shares when prices are low and fewer shares when prices are high. This disciplined approach helps smooth out the impact of market volatility and can result in a lower average cost per share over time.

Convenience

DRIPs automate the process of reinvesting dividends, eliminating the need for investors to actively manage their dividend income. This automation makes it convenient for investors to grow their investment portfolios without requiring constant attention or manual intervention.

Potential Cost Savings

Many DRIP programs offer the option to buy additional shares at a discounted price or without incurring brokerage fees. This can lead to cost savings for investors, especially those who regularly reinvest dividends and accumulate shares over the long term.

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Drawbacks of DRIPs

While DRIPs offer several advantages, they can complicate tax reporting for investors. In non-registered accounts, reinvested dividends are still considered taxable income, even though they are not received in cash. Investors need to keep track of their reinvested dividends and report them accurately on their tax returns, which may require more record-keeping and tax preparation efforts.

Participating in a DRIP program means relinquishing control over dividend payments. While automatic reinvestment can be helpful for long-term investors, it may not suit those who prefer to receive cash dividends for other purposes, such as funding living expenses or investing in other stocks.

In some cases, companies issue new shares to fulfill the demand for DRIP participants, which dilutes existing shareholders’ ownership stakes. The effect of dilution might be minimal for large, established companies, but it could be more significant for smaller companies with fewer outstanding shares.

To DRIP or not to DRIP

Bar chart shoring an overweight position in a portfolioParticipating in a DRIP increases investors’ positions in some stocks automatically without them having to lift a finger. Over time, you could end up with overweight positions for these stocks if you don’t monitor your portfolio.

Also, if the stock price is on a major bull run and keeps rising, and your DRIP buys more for you with every dividend payment, your average cost per share rises as well. The point is that investors should watch their DRIP reinvestments, and the weight of the positions quarterly to avoid these issues. When a position reaches the maximum weighting wanted, it’s time to stop the DRIP to either cash in the dividends or invest them in other stocks.

Investors getting near retirement should also remember to review their DRIPs and stop some or all of them to help build up their cash reserve with the cash dividends ahead of the start of their retirement. Find out more about this in Retirement Cash Reserve: Surf the Market’s Waves.

Conclusion

Dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs) are a compelling tool for investors to grow their investment portfolios over the long term. By reinvesting dividends back into the underlying stock, investors can harness the power of compounding returns and dollar-cost averaging to maximize their wealth accumulation.

While DRIPs provide numerous advantages, including automation, cost savings, and compounding benefits, investors should also be mindful of the potential tax implications, lack of flexibility, and the risk of dilution associated with taking part in DRIP programs. Investors must also monitor the weight of positions for which they participate in a DRIP and stop the DRIP when the positions are large enough and when they want to build their retirement cash reserve.

Ultimately, the decision to enroll in a DRIP should align with investors’ long-term financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment preferences.

Buy List Stock for February 2024: Toromont Industries (TIH.TO)

My Canadian buy list stock for February 2024 is Toromont Industries (TIH.TO). It shows a very strong dividend triangle with double-digit 5-yr annualized growth for revenue, EPS, and dividends. Considering the massive infrastructure spending needs in Canada for the coming years, TIH should keep doing well.

We included Toromont in our Best Canadian Stocks to Buy in 2024, but it’s now a buy list stock because we feel it deserves a bit more attention and we wanted to provide more detail about it.

See our U.S. buy list stock pick for the month here.

Toromont Industries Business Model

Toromont logo on signToromont Industries is a Canada-based company serving the specialized equipment and lifetime product support needs of thousands of customers in diverse industries from roadbuilding to mining, and telecommunications to food and beverage processing. It operates the Equipment Group and CIMCO segments.

Within the Equipment Group segment, TIH is the exclusive Caterpillar dealer for a contiguous geographical territory in Canada that covers Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, Newfoundland, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and most of Nunavut. Additionally, the Company is the MaK engine dealer for the Eastern Seaboard of the United States, from Maine to Virginia. The segment includes rental operations and a complementary material handling business. CIMCO segment is engaged in the design, engineering, fabrication, and installation of industrial and recreational refrigeration systems. Both segments offer comprehensive product support capabilities.

Want more stock ideas? Download out Top Stocks for 2024 booklet!

Investment Thesis for TIH.TO

TIH has over 50 years of history and has built a solid sales network with roughly 140 locations across Canada and the US. Combining this large distribution network with a well-known brand that is Caterpillar secures success that will last for decades. In addition to counting on the mining (20%) and construction (38%) sectors to grow organically, the company also buys smaller dealerships, such as Hewitt, acquired in 2017.

Considering the massive infrastructure spending needs in Canada in the coming years, Toromont is surely a player that could do well going forward. On top of this, the mining industry continues to bolster TIH’s order book given that commodity prices remain strong. It’s a shame that TIH exhibits such a low yield. The company has navigated the current uncertain economic conditions well by remaining committed to operating discipline. Now that governments want to invest in more infrastructure, TIH possesses a stronger dividend triangle showing robust growth.

Graph showing Toromont Industries dividend triangle and stock price over 5 years.

TIH.TO Last Quarter and Recent Activities

Toromont Industries reported a total revenue increase of 9%  for Q4’23 with Equipment Group revenue up 9% and CIMCO up +2%. EPS dropped 3.6% in the quarter as operating income fell due to property gain included in the prior year Q4 results. Excluding these gains, Toromont’s operating income grew 5% due to higher revenue but affected by lower gross margins. Bookings rose 49% compared to the same period in 2022. For the full year, revenue grew 12%, increasing in both groups and across all product and service categories compared to full year 2022 .EPS for 2023 increased 18% compared to 2022. The company also just announced an 11.6% dividend increase!

Potential Risks for Toromont Industries

When we think of the mining and construction sectors, there are two characteristics that come to mind: capital-intense and cyclical. While TIH enjoys a strong reputation and a steady source of income coming from its business model, the company still has to deal with economic cycles. The market expects TIH to showcase great performance in the coming years due to massive infrastructure investments from Canadian provinces. Let’s hope that the company doesn’t disappoint investors.

Revenue growth wasn’t impressive since the pandemic, but now it seems to be picking up in the latest quarters. TIH continues to face construction delays and inflationary pressure. What would happen if we entered a recession? We can see that backlog is now slowing down, signaling weaker results ahead. But so far, the dividend triangle stays incredibly strong.

Want more stock ideas? Download out Top Stocks for 2024 booklet!

TIH.TO Dividend Growth Perspective

Toromont has been a pioneer among the Canadian dividend growers with a dividend growth streak that has been around since 1989. It’s too bad that TIH exhibits such a low dividend yield even after management more than doubled its payouts over the past 5 years. Since TIH has a low payout ratio, shareholders can expect higher single digit increases over the long run. It followed up on a generous dividend increase of +11.4% in 2022 with another one of +10%  in 2023 (from $0.39/share to $0.43/share), and yet another one, this time +11.6% in early 2024 (from $0.43/share to $0.48/share).

Final Thoughts on Toromont Industries

TIH’s yield of 1.5% won’t pay your bills, but it is growing by double-digit annually for one (+10.25%), three (+13.05%), and five years (15.45%).

Despite its very strong dividend triangle (5yr double-digit growth for revenue, EPS and dividends) and revenue growth improving of late, the stock price isn’t following the same growth trend. Last year, you had the chance to buy TIH at a PE of 20. Today, the forward PE is 18.80! Could be a good entry point if you want to add industrials stock to your portfolio.

Canadian Stocks Paying USD Dividend or Trading on US Market

Paper house made with US currency billsCanadian stocks paying USD dividends or trading on an U.S. market (either the NYSE or NASDAQ), or both. Why? Canadian dividend stocks are fascinating. Many of them operate in small niches and pay handsome dividends.

Should you invest in a Canadian stock on the U.S. market? What is the advantage of having a dividend paid in USD by a Canadian company? Are there withholding taxes on USD dividends?

Let’s answer these questions. We’ll also cover Canadian companies paying a dividend in USD for my fellow Canadians who want to enjoy a sunny retirement down south without worrying about currency fluctuations.

Create income for life. Download our guide!

That darned exchange rate

One question that keeps coming up since the creation of Dividend Stocks Rock in 2013 is:

“As a Canadian, should I invest in the U.S. stock market?”

This is usually followed by…

“I’m asking because the currency rate isn’t good right now”

Is it really? Let’s look at the Canadian Dollar vs. the US dollar since the 70’s:

Graph showing evolution of the value of the Canadian dollar vs. US currency since the 1970s

What we see is that we used to trade close to par in the 70’s (remember, it wasn’t a glorious decade for our southern neighbors). Then, it’s a rollercoaster ride between $0.65 to $1.05 depending on the decade. Now, let me work some magic with this graph and present another perspective:

Graph showing the change in percentage of the value of the Canadian dollar vs. the US currency since the 1970s

Over the past 50 years, the dollar moved by 26%. In annualized return, we’re talking about the equivalent of an “expensive” ETF fee (0.456). The largest movement was from 2002 to 2007 (remember the oil boom with oil income trusts?) where our dollar surged by 71%. The difference between the bottom in 2002 and today is a 16% upside fluctuation.

Here’s the range of risk regarding CAD vs USD: over a short period of time, one investment in “bad” currency could make you lose a lot (71% between 2002 and 2007). However, if your investment horizon is over five years (seriously, if you’ll need your capital in 5 years or less, stop investing in equities right now), chances are the impact of currency fluctuations will be less than 1% per year.

Right now, we are not close to a historical high or a historical low. Therefore, your risk of losing massively in investing in USD for Canadians or in CAD for Americans isn’t that important all things considered.

Cross-border investing: is it worth it?

However, the risk of not investing in those unique opportunities for each country is great. Americans, you won’t find better banks, telcos, pipelines and utilities outside of Canada. Canadians, you won’t find better exposure to international markets, new technology and the world’s most popular brands outside of the U.S.

If you can combine both markets to your advantage, you’ll build the most powerful and stable dividend growth portfolio. You’ll be well on your way to achieving your retirement dreams.

I’ve discussed at length my interest in U.S. dividend growers. I’m pretty sure I’ve convinced most of my fellow Canadians to consider U.S. exposure in their portfolios. However, I haven’t fully covered the advantage for Americans to invest in Canadian Stocks.

Since we are talking about currencies, let’s look at these topics:

  1. Canadian dividend stocks trading on U.S. markets for Americans to benefit from our best sectors.
  2. Canadian dividend stocks paying dividends in USD for Canadians to retire in Florida or Arizona.

Learn about how Canadians can obtain a currency hedge and buy US stocks at a lower price, by reading Canadian Depositary Receipts (CDRs).

Create income for life. Download our guide!

Canadian Dividend Stocks trading on the NYSE

Good news, the list of Canadian dividend stocks trading on U.S. markets isn’t exhaustive. I’ve compiled a complete list to the best of my knowledge.

You can download the list here.

Fortunately for you, there are several great options on this short list.

Canadian banks

(RY, TD, BMO, CM, BNS): Canadian banks are highly regulated, but also highly protected. They are comfortably doing business in a small oligopoly. If you haven’t considered Canadian banks yet, now’s your chance. The big 5 are trading at 9.5-11.5 times their earnings. RY and TD are my favorite from this group (more on National Bank later). A special mention to Brookfield Assets Management (BAM) which is an asset manager, not a bank. Still, it’s a company you should consider. You can view our complete Canadian banks ranking.

Life insurance companies

(MFC, SLF): Canadian Life Insurance companies could be interesting now that interest rates appear to be increasing. My favorite is Great-West Lifeco, but sadly it’s not part of this list. SLF would be my pick instead.

Telecoms

Telecommunications towers seen from a distance at dusk(BCE, TU, RCI, ): Like Canadian banks, telecoms operate in a small oligopoly where 90% of the wireless market is controlled by BCE, TU and RCI. BCE and TU are long-time dividend growers. The former will offer you a stable yield while the latter will offer you a great combination of growth and yield. 

Utilities

(FTS, BEP, BIP, TA): If you look them up at DSR you will notice they all have strong ratings, but TA.  BEP and BIP also pay their dividends in USD. Therefore, there is no reason to not consider those great dividend growers!

Energy

(ENB, CNQ, TRP, SU, IMO, PBA, CPG, ERF, OVV): While there is a wide range of choices in this category, I would cut the selection to only include dividend growers. ENB and TRP are probably the most reliable pipelines in North America while CNQ and IMO (which is partially owned by XOM) are two other great dividend growers. They have proven (especially in 2020), that they can weather any storms and keep their promises to shareholders. 

Industrials

Canadian National Railway train crossing a prairie full of yellow flowers(TFII, CNI, CP, STN, WCN, TRI): This is clearly a widely diversified group, but all of them merit a look nonetheless. CNI and CP are among the strongest railroad companies in North America. WCN pays a small yield and is a very stable business. Thomson Reuters shows 28 years of consecutive dividend increases. TFI International is one of the fastest growing trucking companies in North America.

Materials

(FNV, NTR, GOLD, AEM, WPM, PAAS, MEOH, TECK, CCJ): You know I’m not a big fan of materials, but FNV is in another class. This is a rare gold-related company showing several years with dividend increases. NTR is also an interesting pick if the demand for potash remains strong.

Others

(MGA and OTEX): Magna International (MGA) is an amazing company. You can surf on the car industry along with the EV trend through Magna without having to take the risk of another automotive crash. The company is one of the largest auto parts sellers in the world. It’s a cash flow machine! As for Open Text, this is a SAAS business with over 100,000 customers around the world. However, I must admit that you have better choices on the US market if you are looking for a solid tech stock!

If you are American, I’d say that investing in Canadian banks, telecoms and utilities would add a lot of value to your portfolio. We have many choices in the energy & materials sectors as well, but I’m not a fan of those sectors.

What about pink sheets?

Pink sheets are listings for stocks that trade over the counter (OTC) rather than on a major U.S. stock exchange. They’re usually companies that can’t meet the requirements for listing on the major markets. They often have a “bad reputation” as many of them are penny stocks with limited liquidity. As a dividend investor, this isn’t exactly what you want to add to your portfolio.

However, you will also find amazing Canadian stocks are listed as pink sheets, such as National Bank (NTIOF), Emera (EMRAF), Power Corporation (PWCDF) and Alimentation Couche-Tard (ANCTF). Those are far from being penny stocks. Emera is the smallest company among this list with a market cap over $15B. While there is less volume for those companies, you can add them to your portfolio if you have a long-term horizon. If you’re a DSR member, I invite you to  read our analyses of these stocks on the Canadian side if you have doubt about a pink sheet stock.

Create income for life. Download our guide!

Canadian Dividend Stocks Paying USD dividends

Some Canadian companies pay their dividend in USD. They choose to this usually after a business analysis shows most of the company’s revenues are made in the United States. By paying their dividend in the same currency as they generate their revenues, they reduce the risk of currency fluctuation. An example is TFI International (TFII) that changed its CAD dividend to USD after the integration of a massive acquisition in the U.S. (UPS freight was purchased for $800M in 2021).

Is there a tax implication?

In most cases, dividends paid in U.S. dollars by Canadian companies are eligible for the dividend tax credit (source).  It’s always a good practice to verify this in the dividend section of the company’s investors’ website. The dividend may also be deposited in your account automatically in CAD. Again, it depends on the company. Those are questions you can ask your broker to ensure you receive the right dividend in the right currency!

Advantage of Canadian stocks paying USD dividends

Senior citizens enjoying a sunny day at oceanfront beachIn general, the advantage of Canadian stocks paying a USD dividend is more for the company, because it generates most of its revenues in USD as explained earlier. For investors, it could be a source of headaches or frustrations (you don’t want your broker making a sweet 2% conversion rate fee on your dividend, right?). However, if you plan a vacation or retirement in the U.S., having Canadian stocks paying their dividend in Uncle Sam’s dollar is a natural hedge against currency fluctuation. You can build a part of your portfolio with those Canadian stocks along with other US stocks and you’ll be set to never have to worry about converting your money “at a bad rate” in the future.

The list of Canadian stocks trading on the NYSE counts 75 companies and the Canadian stocks paying USD dividends is relatively small (35 companies), but you will find some common names.

You can download the list here.

Buy List Stock for January 2024: Stella-Jones (SJ.TO)

A new Canadian buy list stock on my list for January 2024 is Stella-Jones (SJ.TO), a special beast in the materials sector. While its business model revolves around lumber prices, most of its revenue comes from products essential to infrastructure projects: utility poles and railway ties. SJ.TO’s business is less affected by price fluctuations than if it was all about residential lumber. Find out more about why I bought shares of SJ.TO in December 2023.

See my U.S. buy list stock pick for this month here.

Stella-Jones Business Model

Stella-Jones Inc. is a Canada-based producer of pressure-treated wood products. It supplies various electrical utilities and telecommunication companies with wood utility poles and North America’s short line and commercial railroad operators with railway ties and timbers. SJ.TO also provides industrial products including wood for railway bridges and crossings, marine and foundation pilings, construction timbers, and coal tar-based products.

Additionally, the Company manufactures and distributes premium treated residential lumber and accessories to Canadian and American retailers for outdoor applications, with a significant portion of the business devoted to servicing Canadian customers through its national manufacturing and distribution network. The Company operates 45 wood treating plants and a coal tar distillery across Canada and the United States, complemented by a procurement and distribution network.

Discover other great picks in our 2024 Top Stocks booklet. Download it now.

Investment Thesis for SJ.TO 

With utilities and railroads as its main customers, Stella-Jones will keep getting sizable orders and getting paid. SJ.TO’s revenue surged between 2017 and 2021 because demand for its products was strong from both sides of the border. Business has slowed since the second half of 2021, but SJ.TO continues to grow. In 2023, it reported impressive numbers as demand for infrastructure products is surging. With 15 facilities in Canada and 25 on U.S. soil, Stella-Jones can deliver its products promptly.

The company has proven to be a defensive pick during the pandemic. The “lumber COVID-hype” is over, but SJ.TO remains a solid business benefiting from multiple growth vectors. While residential construction may slow down due to higher interest rates, the need for more infrastructure and major projects continue to drive sales higher.

A portion of the company’s growth in recent quarters was fueled by recent acquisitions and margin expansion. Management mentioned it was seeking acquisition targets – we like that!

Buy list stock. Graphs showing 5-year evolution of Stella-Jones's stock price, revenue, EPS, and dividend payment

SJ.TO Last Quarter and Recent Activities

Recently, Stella-Jones impressed the market and analysts with a killer quarter; revenue up 13%, and EPS up 79%! Excluding the acquisition of utility pole manufacturer Texas Electric and the positive currency impact, sales were still up 7%. Despite understandable lower sales for residential lumber, the company saw an organic growth of 17% from its infrastructure-related businesses. Utility sales were up 32.3%, Railway ties +15.6%. Earnings jumped on expanding margins in SJ.TO infrastructure-related businesses, helped by businesses acquired in late 2022 and 2023.

Potential Risks for Stella-Jones

SJ.TO is highly dependent on macroeconomic factors. Although the company enjoys a stable replacement business for railway ties and utility poles, those segments do not always grow at a fast pace. The residential lumber division depends on the health of the housing market. Fueled by strong results, SJ.TO’s stock price skyrocketed in 2023. It’s always an additional risk to buy when a stock almost doubles in value.

Going forward, Stella-Jones will remain dependent on lumber pricing. If demand is strong, it will seem to be a robust business. Like any commodity producer, it experiences uptrends and downtrends. This seems to be a good deal with a forward PE ratio below 14.

Discover other great picks in our 2024 Top Stocks booklet. Download it now.

SJ.TO Dividend Growth Perspective

Another reason I chose SJ.TO as a buy list stock is that it’s dividend has almost doubled over the past 5 years, yet the company exhibits a very low payout ratio. Unfortunately, as is the case with many low-yielding stocks, the combination of a low payout ratio and low yield makes the DDM calculation inadequate. Going forward, shareholders can expect mid single-digit dividend growth. The latest dividend increases were more than generous (going from $0.15/share to $0.18/share in 2021 and then to $0.20/share in 2022, and now to $0.23/share in 2023), but for planning and valuation purposes, we would rather stick with a more conservative scenario.

Final Thoughts on Stella-Jones

In 2023, the company reported impressive numbers with demand for infrastructure products surging; despite a surging stock price in 2023, it still trades at an attractive forward PE of 14; infrastructure and major projects should continue to drive sales higher; the company is on the lookout for more acquisition targets. So, lots of growth vectors on its dashboard.

What’s not to like? Stella-Jones is fully deserving of a spot as a buy list stock for many dividend growth investors.

2023 Year-End Review

Our 2023 year-end review in four words:  Different Investors, Different Returns. Some investors had a great year and are happy that the market is “finally back”. Others saw their portfolio value decline. What explains these discrepancies in returns in 2023?

Asset and Sector Allocation

Asset and sector allocation is what made the difference between happy and disappointed investors in 2023.

As you can see in this graph, the year was quite different depending on whether you were invested in Canada, the U.S., or heavily in the technology sector…

Graph showing total returns for the U.S. and Canadian markets, and those of the information technology sector

Excluding the latest mini bull run provoked by hints that interest rate hikes are over, the Canadian market was heading toward a flat year or worse. Across sectors, the performance in Canada and the U.S. was quite different for 2023. Next, we look at the total returns for each sector in 2023.

Learn how to create your own paycheck with our Dividend Income for Life guide!

Total Returns by Sector

Below are the year’s total returns per sector in the U.S.

Graph of 2023 total returns by sector on the U.S. market

We see the surging technology sector leading the way, followed by the communication services sector. It wasn’t the AT&T’s and Verizon’s of this sector that pushed it to such heights but rather tech-focused communications stocks such as Meta (META), Alphabet (GOOG) and Netflix (NFLX). I must add the communication services ETF in the graph is a isn’t really a good representation; it skews the results favorable because it’s 47% invested in Meta and Alphabet.

While the energy sector was the savior in 2022, it was flat in 2023. The utility sector is the biggest loser, hurt by higher interest rates and poor performance from all renewable energy stocks. For more on that, see What’s Happening with Renewables?

On the Canadian side, shown in the next graph, we see similar trends, but with a stronger performance from the energy sector than in the U.S. Take the BMO’s technology, communications, and consumer discretionary ETFs with a grain of salt because each includes several U.S. stocks. Banks and telecommunications companies disappointed in 2023 as did utilities and REITs.

Graph of 2023 total returns by sector on the Canadian market

The investment year 2023 could be summarized as follows:

  • If you focused on low-yield, high dividend growth stocks, it was a success.
  • If you focused on income and high yield, it was a bad year.

What’s next?

We have been spoiled over the past twelve years. In general, an economic cycle lasts about 5 to 8 years. That includes a bear market and a bull market and everything in between. The last real bear market we had began in 2008 and ended in 2009. That was 14 years ago.

Currently, we live in a strange world: inflation hurts consumers’ budgets forcing them to tighten their belt with high interest rates putting even more pressure on them and yet, the unemployment rate remains low. Why? Demographics: as our population ages, many retire, and we don’t have enough babies to take those jobs.

During the second part of 2023, we saw signs that higher interest rates were finally catching up with the economy and slowing it down. Inflation has lowered, GDP isn’t as strong (Canada even reported a negative GDP late in 2023), and unemployment rates on both sides of the border are going up by a bit.

Learn how to create your own paycheck with our Dividend Income for Life guide!

If you focus on your portfolio yield, you were unhappy with your results in 2023 and my guess is that it won’t be easy in 2024 either.

New inflation data hints at a pause in interest rates. We might even talk about rate decreases later in 2024. However, as the steak price won’t get back to 2021 levels, we are not going to see 2% mortgages or debentures in 2024. Companies will have to deal with higher interest rates when refinancing.

I said it over and over; we will continue to feel the lagging impact of those interest rate increases for many years.

Different Year, Same Plan

A picture of a compass Studies show that most individual investors like you and me lag the market… big time. Think of famous investor Peter Lynch who managed the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990 generating an annualized return of 29%. Fidelity later revealed that the average Magellan Fund investor lost money during this period. How is that possible? Investors were simply not investing with conviction, and they didn’t stick to their plan, especially at times when the market dropped.

In 2022, I was overconfident, and I drifted away from my investment rules and process. As a result, I suffered from three bad investment decisions, Algonquin (AQN.TO), Sylogist (SYZ.TO), and VF Corp (VFC), in a brief period of time, which is never good for the investor’s ego.

In early 2023, I quickly got back into the driver’s seat and acted. I sold the three dividend cutters, took the loss of roughly 50% on each stock, and moved on by focusing on dividend growers with strong dividend triangle.

I could have prevented part of those losses by following my own rules, but I didn’t. Fortunately, my investment structure protects me from major negative impacts from bad investments as they are limited in size in my portfolio. Again, this highlights the importance of following your plan and sticking to your investment strategy.

For 2024, I intend to follow the same plan. My investment strategy stays the same: have a strong investment thesis backed with numbers and select companies with minimal downside.

Wishing you a successful investing year in 2024!

25 Most Popular Canadian Stocks at DSR

Looking at the 25 most popular Canadian stocks among members of DSR Pro is not only fun, but it can reveal opportunities we might have overlooked. Last week, we covered the top 5. If you missed it, read it here. This article provides the investment thesis for the stocks that are the 6th to 10th most popular, and list those in the 11th to 25th positions along with their respective sectors.

I pulled the most popular stocks from the DSR database based of the number of times they appear across the 2,289 DSR PRO members’ portfolios, not by looking at individual portfolios. This is strictly based on how frequently each stock appears in the database, not on the value invested (which I don’t know).

See also the U.S. stocks most popular with DSR Pro members.

Discover even more great dividend growth stocks. Download our Rock Stars list, updated monthly!

Royal Bank (RY.TO / RY)

6th place – 1165 members

Royal Bank plays a similar role as TD in a portfolio. I prefer RY for its greater diversification. I like its business distribution across classic banking operations (40.4%), wealth management (29.8%), capital markets (18.3%), insurance (7%) and investor & treasury services (4.4%) as per the 2022 annual report. Capital market operations are more volatile and sometimes crash a quarter (we saw this with BMO in 2020). However, it’s also an amazing source of growth. Once again, TD and RY are close in term of assets, popularity, and yield!

Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD.TO / ANCUF)

7th place – 968 members

You know I love Couche-Tard and it was part of the favorites last year. It’s back to the 7th place after being out of the top 10 last year. Couche-Tard has proven quite resilient over the past few years. The company rewards shareholders with constant growth across all business segments. If you think ATD is expensive today, remember that it’s trading at the same PE ratio it was in 2018. The only difference is that ATD has more than doubled its EPS in the past 5 years.

Brookfield Infrastructure (BIP.UN.TO/BIPC.TO)

8th place – 898 members

I like BIPC for its wide diversification across multiple utility businesses: Utilities (30% of FFO) includes gas pipelines, electricity distribution and transmission lines, and smart meters. Transport (30%) includes railroads, terminals (ports), and toll roads. Midstream (30%) includes transmission pipelines, natural gas storage, and processing plants and polypropylene production capacity. Finally, Data (10%) consists of telecom towers, fiber optic cables and 50+ data centers. Keep in mind BIPC’s a complex business with opaque financial statements. It’s not for everyone.

Discover even more great dividend growth stocks. Download our Rock Stars list, updated monthly!

Brookfield Renewable (BEP.UN.TO/BEPC.TO)

9th place – 866 members

BEPC took a big hit on the market this year, with its stock showing a double-digit decline in 2023 and down over 40% over the past 3 years. You’re probably wondering why you bought it if you focus on short-term returns. I feel your pain. I hold shares too, I’m down 20%, but I don’t mind much though since I intend to hold BEPC for a very long time.  Brookfield is all about “patient capital”.

Scotiabank (BNS.TO / BNS)

10th place – 845 members

I’m still not a fan of BNS. While it offers a juicy yield, it has lagged its peers for over 10 years now. Turns out its exposure to Central and South America hasn’t paid off as anticipated. It’s a source of volatility rather than one of consistently higher profits.

11th to 25th Most Popular

Many of “usual suspects” in this list. I own shares of many of them.

COMPANY NAME TICKER SECTOR
Canadian National Railway CNR.TO / CNI Industrial
National Bank NA.TO Financial services
Emera EMA.TO Utilities
TC Energy TRP.TO / TRP Energy
Canadian National Resources CNQ.TO / CNQ Energy
Algonquin Power AQN.TO / AQN Utilities
CIBC CM.TO / CM Financial services
Granite REIT GRT.UN.TO REIT
BMO BMO.TO / BMO Financial services
Power Corp. POW.TO Financial services
Manulife MFC.TO / MFC Financial services
Magna International MG.TO / MGA Consumer Discretionary
Canadian Tire CTC.A.TO Consumer Discretionary
Suncor SU.TO / SU Energy
Brookfield Corp. BN.TO / BN Financial services

Final Thought

While it’s always fun to feed your curiosity, never let a list like this replace your investment process. It won’t do much good to just pile up others’ ideas in your portfolio without the conviction that they fit with your strategy. I see this list as a good group of stocks to start a research project. But that’s definitely just the beginning. There is a lot more digging required before pulling the trigger…

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